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Message: GOING TO GROW.... BIGTIME !

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Re: GOING TO GROW.... BIGTIME !

posted on Apr 27, 10 12:37PM

Goldcorp is a funny animal. I agree with size and growth side but what has really bugged me is Casey Research. Goldcorp is nowhere on their best of lists at all.

From an issue two months ago. Either Casey and Goldcorp do not like each other or there is background issues. I even asked "why" and received no reply. Whatever we hold it.

Higher Gold = Much Higher Earnings

First, take a look at how a rising gold price impacted company earnings compared to the prior year.

Company
ARGP Q408
ARGP Q409
Increase in ARGP
Net Earnings Q408 M
Net Earnings Q409 M
Increase in Net Earnings
Gold Production
Barrick
$809
$1119
38%
$277
$604
118%
10.1% decrease
Agnico-Eagle
$789
$1153
46%
$21.9
$47.9
118%
82% increase
Kinross
$794
$1094
37%
$56.8
$148.6
161%
22% increase
Lihir*
$815*
$1036*
27%
$116.9*
$121.5*
4%
27% increase
Randgold
$728
$1012
39%
$9.3
$38.7
316%
28% increase
Royal Gold
$795
$1100
38%
$3.0
$9.6
220%
9.6% decrease
Yamana
$789
$1095
38%
$12.3
$36.2
194%
13.6% increase
    ARGP – Average realized gold price
    *Lihir – 2nd half earnings; the company does not report quarterly profits
    -Royal Gold: Q408 excludes one-time $31.5 million gain from Cortez restructuring
    -Minefinders excluded as they were not in commercial production in Q408
    -Eldorado and Jinshan have not yet filed Q409 reports
    -Yamana’s Q408 earnings exclude non-cash write-offs such as derivatives, foreign exchange, etc.

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