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Message: Small-cap stocks first to recover from a recession

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Re: Small-cap stocks first to recover from a recession

posted on Mar 31, 09 10:34AM

Smaller firms historically have performed better than the S&P 500 index coming out of bear markets due to the liquidity effect. Also keep in mind it is impossible to forecast a peak or trough in the market prospectively.

Historical data shows that small and micro cap firms averaged an annual return of 31.3% during these easing periods (82, 89, 2000), outperforming large cap stocks in periods of monetary expansion by 12.3% per year and mid-cap stocks by 8.5% per year. So maybe its a good thing? I think the market is overlooking these juniors.

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