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AGORACOM Wire - Wednesday February 15th, 2012

Breaking News ....

Lomiko (LMR: TSX-V) to Complete 43-101 Report on Previous Drilling at the Quatre Milles Graphite Property *CLIENT* Read More

Top Sector Stories ....

Strike Graphite Corp. (TSXV:SRK) Acquires Wagon Graphite Project in Quebec in Vicinity of Timcal's Lac des Iles Graphite Mine *CLIENT* Read More  |  Profile

Strike Graphite goes "Beyond the Press Release"

McLaren Resources (CNSX:MCL) Drills 7.0 Grams Gold Over 7.4 Metres at the TimGinn Property Located Adjacent to the Hollinger Mine *CLIENT* Read More | Watch Beyond the Press Release

DONNER METALS INTERVIEW: David Patterson Discusses the Bracemac-McLeod Mine Development Beyond the Press Release

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Message: VIX Rises With S&P 500 Index in Sign That Stock Rally Will End

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VIX Rises With S&P 500 Index in Sign That Stock Rally Will End

posted on Jul 15, 09 03:51PM

The VIX rose with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, a sign from the options market that the steepest three-day rally for stocks since June is poised to end.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, as the VIX is known, added 1.7 percent to 25.44 at 2 p.m. in New York. The S&P 500 gained 2.4 percent. They have moved in the same direction 6 percent of the time since January 2003, according to data compiled by Charles Schwab Corp. The S&P 500 reversed course the next day 66 percent of the time, including seven of the past nine instances.

“That is remarkable,” Randy Frederick, head of trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas, said of the tandem move by the S&P 500 and VIX today. “The VIX is expecting something here, either a pull back this afternoon or tomorrow.”

Both indexes rose on July 6. The next day, the S&P 500 retreated 2 percent. The volatility benchmark, known as Wall Street’s “fear gauge” because it almost always increases as stocks fall, reflects expectations for price swings for the next 30 days and is calculated from S&P 500 options that are one or two months from expiration. Higher levels signal more risk in equities.

The government’s weekly report on jobless claims tomorrow may be spurring concern among investors, Frederick said. The U.S. unemployment rate has increased to a 26-year high of 9.5 percent.

“We’ve had some unexpected numbers recently,” he said. “There is probably an anticipation that could happen again.”

Consumer confidence unexpectedly declined this month, according to a Reuters/University of Michigan index on July 10.

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