KBC, I think NBB was just reiterating that IF Feb 12th comes to pass and there is no announcement about hitting 250 events, then we are left to wonder: 1) Was 250 events reached and no announcement made? or 2) Has 250 events not been reached meaning that the ACTUAL event rate was indeed less than 10 per month?

At all 3 presentations (Sept, Nov, Jan), they state that the occurence rate is 10-15 per month.  That means it has been 10-15 in the months prior to the September statement, all the way through to Jan 7th.  How is that not the ACTUAL event rate?  How could it be less than 10?