"With the market cap under 500M USD, it seems the market is not very optimistic. A successful topline would at least get the market cap up to 2B USD. Therefore the market is suggesting the probability of failure is at least 75%."

I completely disagree with your statement above. The potential market cap of Resverlogix with positive top-line data is an unknown. Using an unknown potential market cap number in your "probability of failure" equation is flawed. If the market cap after successful top-line hypothetically reached $1B, $2B, $5B, or $10B, then by your logic the market is suggesting a "probability of failure" of 50%, 75%, 90% and 95%, respectively. In other words, you are suggesting that the bigger the prize, the bigger the probability of failure based on current market cap. There are many variables that factor in to a company's current market cap. There are many reasons that folks may be in a "wait and see" approach with Resverlogix, apabetalone and BETonMACE. Hesistancy is not the same as expecting failure.

BearDownAZ