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Message: Re:The Close
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May 08, 2012 08:03AM

May 08, 2012 09:02AM
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May 08, 2012 10:31AM
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May 08, 2012 10:56AM
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May 08, 2012 04:11PM
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May 08, 2012 06:08PM

At this point they have to be praying for Tullow to hit. If they do, that reservoir is 1.1B barrels of oil which our 25% stake would be $10.75 as per management. What are the odds that they hit? I would think 10% would be a fair risk (I think I remember that from one of the Pescod letters) well, then our fair price then would be $1.07. I am not sure about you guys but my impression is this is a huge buy at 30 cents as we should gravitate to at least 50 cents by July when results are near. Also, we have 90 days to pay that $20M. If they hit, that $20M will not be an issue at all!

G.


May 09, 2012 10:56AM
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