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Message: Inmet targets cut as earnings fall, costs rise

Inmet targets cut as earnings fall, costs rise

posted on Jul 30, 2008 09:10PM
Inmet targets cut as earnings fall, costs rise

Posted: July 30, 2008, 12:00 PM by Peter Koven

Financial Post

Inmet Mining Corp.'s second-quarter results came in well below street estimates, and analysts were quick to cut their targets.

Toronto-based Inmet reported earnings per share of $1.40 compared to $2.86 in the same quarter last year. Desjardins Securities analyst John Redstone noted that much of the variance is related to foreign exchange losses. But he also wrote that 31ยข of it is a result of higher-than-expected operating costs as Inmet deals with many of the same problems plaguing the rest of the industry.

He cut his target on Inmet to $97.70 a share, down from his previous forecast of $102.00 a share.

That is still well above the current level of about $62.00. Inmet shares has been dragged down by delays at its Las Cruces and Cerattepe projects. The company has also launched a hostile bid for joint venture partner Petaquilla Copper Ltd. that needs to play out.

Fraser Phillips of RBC Capital Markets also cut his outlook on Inmet, lowering his target to $78.00 (from $85.00). That reflects lower-than-expected production in 2008 and higher-than-expected costs going forward. He also anticipates a start-up at Las Cruces in late 2009, which is about a year later than Inmet anticipates (the project has been held up by a water permit suspension).

"We believe uncertainty around [Inmet's] key projects will likely limit its share price potential in the near term," he wrote in a note.

Mr. Redstone rates Inmet a "buy" and Mr. Phillips calls it a "sector perform."

Peter Koven

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