Re: genuity report is out! eom
in response to
by
posted on
Aug 07, 2009 08:52AM
NI 43-101 Update (September 2012): 11.1 Mt @ 1.68% Ni, 0.87% Cu, 0.89 gpt Pt and 3.09 gpt Pd and 0.18 gpt Au (Proven & Probable Reserves) / 8.9 Mt @ 1.10% Ni, 1.14% Cu, 1.16 gpt Pt and 3.49 gpt Pd and 0.30 gpt Au (Inferred Resource)
Noront Resources Ltd.
NOT-V: $2.51 August 6, 2009
TARGET: $2.70 (FROM $2.00)
RECOMMENDATION: HOLD (FROM BUY)
RISK RATING: SPECULATIVE
Michael Gray – 604.694.6961
Samuel Jang – 604.694.6964
Hole 49 assays deliver – Lots of drilling
ahead (all figures in C$, unless noted)
Price (8/05/2009) $2.51
Total return to target 8%
Shares O/S (m) 154.6
Shares F/D (m) 164.9
Market cap F/D ($m) $413.9
Market value ($m) $349.2
10-day Ave Daily Vol (m) 5.0
Debt ($m) 0
Cash ($m) $20.0
FD cash ($m) $35.0
6-mo Burn-rate ($m) $10.0
Shareholders 10% Mgmt
~9% Sprott Asset Mgmt
~9% Rosseau Asset Mgmt
~7% Pinetree Cap
CEO Wes Hanson
Director Paul Parisotto
Director Joseph Hamilton
NOT-V
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Price (C$)
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Noront Resources Ltd. (NOT-V) is a Canadianbased
precious metals exploration company
focused on northern Ontario, Canada. Its key
asset is its 100%-owned McFauld’s Lake project
that hosts the ultra high-grade Ni-Cu-PGE Eagle
One deposit and the prospective Blackbird
chromite deposits.
Yesterday, after market close, Noront reported the muchanticipated
Eagle One “depth” assays from drill hole 49 on its
100%-owned McFauld’s Lake project, northern Ontario, Canada.
Two new lenses were documented and named Eagle 1B and 1C.
High-grade assays from hole 49 massive sulphides – Eagle
1B returned 4.7 metres at 5.1% Ni, 1.3% Cu, 0.6g/t Pt and 5.3g/t
Pd within a larger 178.8-metre interval of 1.2% Ni, 0.5%Cu, 0.9g/t
Pt and 2.0g/t Pd (at 306.7-485.5 metres). Lower Eagle 1C
returned 23.7 metres at 5.2% Ni, 1.0% Cu, 0.2g/t Pt and 7.9g/t Pd
within a large 149.5-metre interval at 2.4% Ni, 1.1% Cu, 1.0g/t Pt
and 5.1g/t Pd (at 796.2-945.7 metres). This confirms the high
nickel tenors that were expected (Eagle One 450kt resource1 is
6.75% Ni) and the high, albeit lower, Pt+Pd contents to depth
(Eagle One 14g/t). Although extensive disseminated sulphide
mineralization was documented in both the upper (1B) and lower
(1C) lenses in hole 49, it is the massive portion that has the
highest chance to be economic.
Impact – Positive. Hole 49 has confirmed additional high-grade
zones at depth within the Eagle One conduit. Scissor holes are in
progress to document true thicknesses. We expect a large amount
of drilling will be required to “sketch-in” Eagle 1B and 1C, and that
the lenses will be podiform with lots of hits and misses. Exploration
potential for additional lenses at depth is rated very high.
Valuation – For now, we use a direct shipping scenario with triple
our estimates of the Eagle One massive sulphides (to 1.8mt) and
apply a DCF8% conceptual mine model through an underground
ramp and shaft. Capex is increased to $70 million for the road and
$180 million for the mine site (production in 2013), resulting in a
0.8x operating NAVPS of $1.98. We are also adding 16 million
shares of dilution for $40 million in financing for adjusted cash of
$0.20/share. For chromite and belt land value, we maintain our
$0.50/share comparative analysis view for a sum-of-the-parts
NAVPS of $2.68. On this basis, we have adjusted our target price
upward to $2.70 (from $2.00). Given the implied 8% return to our
target, we are lowering our recommendation to a HOLD (from a
BUY